{"id":7509,"date":"2024-05-25T17:15:51","date_gmt":"2024-05-25T17:15:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/?p=7509"},"modified":"2024-06-22T08:46:41","modified_gmt":"2024-06-22T08:46:41","slug":"assessment-of-public-debt-drivers-in-the-balkans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/en\/2024\/05\/25\/assessment-of-public-debt-drivers-in-the-balkans\/","title":{"rendered":"ASSESSMENT OF PUBLIC DEBT DRIVERS IN THE BALKANS"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"7509\" class=\"elementor elementor-7509\" data-elementor-settings=\"[]\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-section-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-23c517a3 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"23c517a3\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-no\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-1ee8192d\" data-id=\"1ee8192d\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-5a70f4e6 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5a70f4e6\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-1bc2021c\" data-id=\"1bc2021c\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-40d1d1b6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"40d1d1b6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>Authors: Kevin Bica, Erinda Imeraj<\/p><p>Vol. 9 \u2022 No. 16 \u2022 May 2024<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-13949866\" data-id=\"13949866\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9e5d655 elementor-position-right elementor-view-default elementor-vertical-align-top elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-box\" data-id=\"9e5d655\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-animation-\" href=\"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/4.-Kevin-Bica-et..pdf\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"fas fa-arrow-down\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-content\">\n\t\t\t\t<h6 class=\"elementor-icon-box-title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/4.-Kevin-Bica-et..pdf\" target=\"_blank\" >\n\t\t\t\t\t\tView article PDF\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/h6>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-68ff88c6 elementor-position-right elementor-view-default elementor-vertical-align-top elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-box\" data-id=\"68ff88c6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-icon elementor-animation-\" href=\"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/4.-Kevin-Bica-et._abstract.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"fas fa-arrow-down\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-icon-box-content\">\n\t\t\t\t<h6 class=\"elementor-icon-box-title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/4.-Kevin-Bica-et._abstract.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" >\n\t\t\t\t\t\tView abstract PDF\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/h6>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2e777a33 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"2e777a33\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4cb068e7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4cb068e7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Abstract<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6adc812b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6adc812b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>This study investigates the main drivers of public debt and assesses the overall debt structure in the Balkan countries. Regardless of a close to 50% average debt level, there is no immediate threat of escalation compared to developed countries. The empirical analysis leverages three advanced econometric techniques to control for cross-country specifics and potential biases due to data disruptions. Sourced from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, the data are of quantitative type collected from 2000-2021. Empirical evidence suggests that Real GDP Growth and Current Account balance are crucial determinants of economic performance, with political regimes also exerting a notable influence. As the time frame of the research consists of the COVID-19 pandemic, it is essential to consider structural breakdowns to avoid any coefficient biases. Unsurprisingly, the dummy variable COVID-19 depicts a significant effect as public debt increased by 2.51 percentage points once the pandemic occurred. The rest of the variables, including interest rates, government expenditure, and unemployment rate, are statistically insignificant. Empirical evidence from the present study supports the hypothesis that pursuing genuine economic development through the advocacy of domestic production and trade, coupled with the consolidation of democratic institutions, can act as a check on the spiraling growth of public debt.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-69f4fc48 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"69f4fc48\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5125784b elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5125784b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>Keywords:<\/strong> Public debt, Economic Growth, COVID-19, Panel Data, Inflation, Balkans.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6697eb6b elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"6697eb6b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1539cde8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1539cde8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>JEL Classification:<\/strong> E02, E12, E62.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4e820f0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4e820f0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><strong>DOI: <\/strong>10.55654\/JFS.2024.9.16.04<strong><br \/><\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-12b38c24 elementor-widget elementor-widget-eael-creative-button\" data-id=\"12b38c24\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"eael-creative-button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t        <div class=\"eael-creative-button-wrapper\">\n\n            <a class=\"eael-creative-button eael-creative-button--default\" href=\"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/en\/arhiva\/\" data-text=\"\">\n\n                <div class=\"creative-button-inner\">\n\n                    \n                    <span class=\"cretive-button-text\">BACK<\/span>\n\n                                    <\/div>\n            <\/a>\n        <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Authors: Kevin Bica, Erinda Imeraj Vol. 9 \u2022 No. 16 \u2022 May 2024 View article PDF View abstract PDF Abstract This study investigates the main drivers of public debt and assesses the overall debt structure in the Balkan countries. Regardless of a close to 50% average debt level, there is no immediate threat of escalation &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/en\/2024\/05\/25\/assessment-of-public-debt-drivers-in-the-balkans\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">ASSESSMENT OF PUBLIC DEBT DRIVERS IN THE BALKANS<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[182],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<title>ASSESSMENT OF PUBLIC DEBT DRIVERS IN THE BALKANS - Revista de Studii Financiare<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/revista.isfin.ro\/en\/2024\/05\/25\/assessment-of-public-debt-drivers-in-the-balkans\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"ASSESSMENT OF PUBLIC DEBT DRIVERS IN THE BALKANS - Revista de Studii Financiare\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Authors: Kevin Bica, Erinda Imeraj Vol. 9 \u2022 No. 16 \u2022 May 2024 View article PDF View abstract PDF Abstract This study investigates the main drivers of public debt and assesses the overall debt structure in the Balkan countries. 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